Oklahoma Governor · 5th District Counties  ·  General Election Tracker

Mazzei vs. Munson — projected two-way vote share

Each point is a Foundry DST℠ forecast of the governor's race within the six counties of Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District, re-run as new evidence enters the race. General election, November 3, 2026 · reading nine of twelve, October 9.

Foundry DST℠ readings, projected two-way vote share
ReadingMazzeiMunson
Aug 26 (First reading)45.9%54.1%
Sep 1 (Post-runoff)50.7%49.3%
Sep 845.4%54.6%
Sep 1449.3%50.8%
Sep 2146.6%53.4%
Sep 2845.6%54.4%
Oct 2 (Post-debate)44.3%55.7%
Oct 544.9%55.1%
Oct 945.4%54.6%
Mazzei — Oct 9
45.4%
▲ from 44.9% on Oct 5
Munson — Oct 9
54.6%
▼ from 55.1% on Oct 5
Where the race stands
Nine readings since Aug 26.
Munson leads by 9.2 points in the district.
Three readings to Nov 3.
Each reading is a Foundry DST℠ forecast: three independent AI models score every county from public data, demographics and current coverage, and a consensus engine reconciles them. System confidence on the latest reading is 79% for Mazzei and 81% for Munson, which indicates there is still room for the race to change. Two-way share excludes independent and write-in votes. Statewide on Oct 9, Foundry DST℠ has Mazzei at 58.6% to 41.4%.
Foundry DST℠ · Saxum
Reading of October 9, 2026
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